The Federal Reserve is widely expected to hold interest rates steady next week, with investors focused on new central bank projections that will show how much weight policymakers are putting on recent soft data and how much risk they attach to unresolved trade and budget issues and an intensifying conflict in the Middle East.

President Donald Trump is expected to double down on his calls for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates by a full percentage point after the latest consumer price index (CPI) shows that inflation has not increased nearly as much as forecasters expected last month due to sweeping tariffs.

The federal government is scaling back data collection used to calculate the inflation rate because of staff shortages. Economists warn that could make for less accurate cost-of-living measures.