Core PCE printed cool at .1% and declined to 2.5% year over year. We continue to forecast that we are entering into StagDeflation as the key endogenous variables that predict inflation are growth in ...

President Donald Trump achieved an economic victory after a prominent inflation reading dropped to its lowest reading in four ...

Core PCE inflation, the Fed’s preferred measure, climbed 2.8% year-over-year, reinforcing a cautious monetary stance. U.S. personal income rose 0.4% in December, signaling strong wage growth ...

Figure 1 shows the contributions to annualized monthly changes in PCE inflation for headline PCE inflation, and Figure 2 shows the same for core PCE inflation. The bars for each month reflect the ...

How tariffs impact global growth, inflation—and small business sentiment—are down, $1 billion deal shows the power of ...

I expect consumer spending to be weak, but not negative, over the next 12 months. And it is not just lower-income Americans ...

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Job-market troubles, weak domestic demand to take back seat in Wednesday’s interest rate decision, economists predict.

The Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index grew at an annualized rate of 1.2% in April, marking the second consecutive ...

Action on U.S. tariff policies and a potentially seismic shift in secondary market activity hasn’t caused much movement for ...

In May, the US Consumer Spending Index experienced a slight increase, raising questions about future inflation trends.